Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#239
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#232
Pace69.0#165
Improvement+4.8#19

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#276
First Shot-5.6#319
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#45
Layup/Dunks-2.6#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#251
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+3.9#30

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#191
First Shot-1.5#216
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#105
Layups/Dunks+0.6#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
Freethrows-1.2#266
Improvement+0.9#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 21.0 - 6.01.0 - 10.0
Quad 32.0 - 10.03.0 - 20.0
Quad 46.0 - 1.09.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 54   @ Belmont L 73-92 7%     0 - 1 -7.2 -7.6 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2018 176   Charleston Southern W 76-73 47%     1 - 1 -0.7 -3.0 +2.1
  Nov 21, 2018 2   Virginia L 52-74 1%     1 - 2 +1.0 -7.4 +7.1
  Nov 22, 2018 69   Butler L 53-84 14%     1 - 3 -23.8 -14.0 -11.7
  Nov 23, 2018 103   Stanford L 54-67 19%     1 - 4 -8.3 -18.7 +11.5
  Dec 01, 2018 57   Lipscomb L 74-84 17%     1 - 5 -4.4 +4.3 -8.7
  Dec 05, 2018 142   @ Vanderbilt L 51-79 20%     1 - 6 -23.6 -14.9 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2018 56   Murray St. L 42-64 17%     1 - 7 -16.4 -26.7 +9.0
  Dec 15, 2018 68   @ Toledo L 62-84 9%     1 - 8 -11.7 -7.2 -4.0
  Dec 21, 2018 41   Mississippi L 56-74 8%     1 - 9 -7.2 -13.1 +6.1
  Dec 30, 2018 133   @ Rhode Island L 60-72 18%     1 - 10 -6.8 -5.6 -1.9
  Jan 03, 2019 210   Florida International L 76-83 54%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -12.5 -9.0 -2.5
  Jan 05, 2019 165   Florida Atlantic L 56-63 45%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -10.3 -16.2 +6.1
  Jan 10, 2019 109   @ Southern Miss L 70-77 14%     1 - 13 0 - 3 +0.1 +2.2 -2.2
  Jan 12, 2019 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-73 20%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -12.6 -7.9 -6.5
  Jan 17, 2019 148   Texas San Antonio W 89-86 39%     2 - 14 1 - 4 +1.5 +5.7 -4.5
  Jan 19, 2019 290   UTEP W 75-72 71%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -7.1 +1.8 -9.0
  Jan 24, 2019 251   @ Rice L 68-79 43%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -13.6 -6.8 -6.9
  Jan 26, 2019 161   @ North Texas L 53-70 25%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -14.3 -15.1 +0.8
  Jan 30, 2019 147   UAB W 71-65 38%     4 - 16 3 - 6 +4.6 -6.0 +10.4
  Feb 02, 2019 147   @ UAB W 79-78 21%     5 - 16 4 - 6 +5.2 +13.6 -8.4
  Feb 07, 2019 287   Charlotte W 71-53 70%     6 - 16 5 - 6 +8.1 +4.5 +6.1
  Feb 09, 2019 122   Old Dominion L 50-55 31%     6 - 17 5 - 7 -4.3 -10.0 +4.8
  Feb 14, 2019 117   @ Western Kentucky L 63-71 15%     6 - 18 5 - 8 -1.4 -1.1 -0.8
  Feb 16, 2019 171   @ Marshall L 93-98 26%     6 - 19 5 - 9 -2.9 +10.7 -13.1
  Feb 23, 2019 287   Charlotte W 86-67 70%     7 - 19 6 - 9 +9.1 +21.3 -9.7
  Mar 03, 2019 251   @ Rice L 61-67 43%     7 - 20 6 - 10 -8.6 -15.2 +6.6
  Mar 06, 2019 290   @ UTEP W 69-53 50%     8 - 20 7 - 10 +11.4 +5.8 +7.0
  Mar 09, 2019 290   UTEP W 48-47 71%     9 - 20 8 - 10 -9.1 -17.4 +8.4
  Mar 13, 2019 147   UAB L 61-70 29%     9 - 21 -7.6 -6.5 -1.9
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%